Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.018690 0.020057 0.021475 0.023057 0.024775 0.026585 0.028638
2026-02-01 0.016277 0.018229 0.020354 0.022847 0.025697 0.028862 0.032654
2026-02-08 0.014565 0.016825 0.019377 0.022481 0.026171 0.030435 0.035760
2026-02-15 0.013386 0.015855 0.018722 0.022317 0.026729 0.031998 0.038813
2026-02-22 0.012406 0.015006 0.018101 0.022081 0.027102 0.033271 0.041499
2026-03-01 0.011621 0.014320 0.017601 0.021919 0.027499 0.034535 0.044182
2026-03-08 0.010946 0.013713 0.017144 0.021751 0.027840 0.035699 0.046754
2026-03-15 0.010450 0.013295 0.016886 0.021803 0.028439 0.037197 0.049820
2026-03-22 0.009952 0.012841 0.016548 0.021713 0.028819 0.038394 0.052511
2026-03-29 0.009524 0.012452 0.016266 0.021670 0.029243 0.039648 0.055326
2026-04-05 0.009112 0.012059 0.015954 0.021559 0.029550 0.040734 0.057937
2026-04-12 0.008780 0.011757 0.015746 0.021574 0.030021 0.042058 0.060953
2026-04-19 0.008483 0.011500 0.015604 0.021695 0.030683 0.043743 0.064693
2026-04-26 0.008095 0.011101 0.015245 0.021487 0.030853 0.044711 0.067403
2026-05-03 0.007695 0.010665 0.014811 0.021144 0.030794 0.045319 0.069570
2026-05-10 0.007382 0.010340 0.014519 0.020991 0.031006 0.046340 0.072444
2026-05-17 0.007074 0.010005 0.014196 0.020771 0.031096 0.047161 0.075026
2026-05-24 0.006805 0.009718 0.013929 0.020619 0.031277 0.048127 0.077894
2026-05-31 0.006553 0.009444 0.013669 0.020463 0.031437 0.049056 0.080744
2026-06-07 0.006371 0.009266 0.013546 0.020512 0.031924 0.050540 0.084642
2026-06-14 0.006166 0.009046 0.013346 0.020427 0.032184 0.051648 0.087934
2026-06-21 0.005984 0.008853 0.013180 0.020388 0.032511 0.052881 0.091519
2026-06-28 0.005797 0.008645 0.012982 0.020284 0.032722 0.053917 0.094798